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Bias and swing in the 2004 NEP exit polls: do the exit polls indicate fraud? ... The analyses here use Bush's performance in 2000 as a basis for judging how he "should" have done in 2004. (Another approach, at the state level, would be to use pre-election polls. ... residuals of 2000-04 'swing' by exit poll 'bias'
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inside.bard.edu/~lindeman/slides.html
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How likely is it that on Election Day the exit polls will reflect a 3% advantage for the GOP, ... But if you factor out the one poll that resembled the 2000 exit polls, Gallup would have you believe that the GOP makes up between 38% and 43% of those voting, while the Democrats make up only between 31% and 35% of those voting.
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www.theleftcoaster.com/archives/002904.php
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Table 1: The Bias and Variance Ratio of eliminating; Non-Certainty Counties in the Utah Colleges Exit Poll. Election Bias (%) Variance Ratio; 2002 District 1 0.0035 0.9292; 2002 District 2 0.0102 0.8129; 2002 District 3 0.0010 0.7912; ... 2000 President 0.0030 0.8520; 2000 Senate 0.0039 0.7430; 2000 Governor -0.0006 0.7066;
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orca.byu.edu/Reports/Journals/2003%20Final%20reports/_p...
orca.byu.edu/Reports/Journals/2003%20Final%20reports/_pms/merx.pdf
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I examine the state-by-state presidential projections of the three major cable news networks on election nights 2000 and 2004 to address questions of ideological bias in election night reporting. I apply duration models to ... media, bias, presidential election, election night, media bias, projections, exit polling...
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www.allacademic.com/meta/p41615_index.html
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Unlike telephone opinion polls that ask people which candidate they intend to vote for several days before the election, exit polls are surveys of voters conducted after they have cast their votes at their polling places. ... Second, in light of the charges that the 2000 election was not legitimate,
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www.electiondefensealliance.org/exit_polling_FAQ
www.electiondefensealliance.org/exit_polling_FAQ
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The exit polls have always drawn samples that are off the real world results and have always had to be corrected (weighted) to eliminate bias, reflect new turnout patterns, and, in the end, just flat-out conform to the election results. 2000: Gore, 48.5; Bush, 46.2; President Dukakis? Obviously, the unweighted data...
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www.alternet.org/election04/20530/
www.alternet.org/election04/20530/
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Exit Polls: Better or Worse Since the 2000 Election? By Robin Sproul; Vice President and Washington Bureau Chief, ABC News; Kalb Fellow, Shorenstein Center, Fall 2007; #D-42; © 2008 President and Fellows of Harvard College.
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www.hks.harvard.edu/presspol/publications/papers/discus...
www.hks.harvard.edu/presspol/publications/papers/discussion_papers/d42_sproul.pdf
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Jeronimo pointed out this analysis by a bunch of statisticians comparing the 2004 exit polls with election results. ... b. Did the Senate/President effect (less bias for Senate than for President) exist in 2000?
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www.stat.columbia.edu/~cook/movabletype/archives/2005/0...
www.stat.columbia.edu/~cook/movabletype/archives/2005/04/bias_in_2004_ex.html
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