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Stagflation - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Stagflation is an economic situation in which inflation and economic stagnation occur simultaneously and remain unchecked for a period of time. The portmanteau stagflation is generally attributed t...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stagflation |
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Phillips curve - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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Demand factors could not explain stagflation. Supply side variables such as productivity growth and oil prices were added in order to cope with supply shocks. In the context of a vertical longterm Phillips curve, stagflation can be explained as a situation in which the economy is situated on a very high short-term curve.
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Thus, the traditional focus on supply shocks to explain the 1970s. This argument however suggests one way out for proponents of the mon-etary policy explanation. Barsky and Kilian do not push it explicitly, but clearly they could, as it is in the spirit of their paper.
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The global stagflation of the 1970s is often blamed on both causes: it was started by a huge rise in oil prices, but then continued as central banks used excessively stimulative monetary policy to try to avoid the resulting recession and stagnation, ... Let’s explain stagflation through an easy examples:
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A Monetary Explanation of the Great Stagflation of the 1970s Robert B. Barsky University of Michigan and NBER Lutz Kilian University of Michigan and CEPR January 27, We provide a model that can explain the bulk of stagflation by monetary expansions and contractions without reference to supply shocks.
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