Already familiar with the basics of heuristics and biases? ; If so, please proceed directly to Cognitive biases potentially affecting judgment of global risks. Further information can also be found at Overcoming Bias.
www.acceleratingfuture.com/michael/works/heuristicsandb... www.acceleratingfuture.com/michael/works/heuristicsandbiases.htm
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List of cognitive biases - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
A cognitive bias is a pattern of deviation in judgment that occurs in particular situations (see also cognitive distortion and the lists of thinking-related topics). Implicit in the concept of a "patt...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cognitive_biases
These heuristics are highly economical and usually effective, but they lead to systematic and predictable errors. A better understanding of these heuristics and of the biases to which they lead could improve judgements and decisions in situations of uncertainty...
www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/abstract/185/4157/1124
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Heuristics are "rules of thumb", cognitive strategies people use to make selections in the face of data overload. For example, an employer might use the heuristic "long hair means the person is a flake" while making hiri...
http://www.wisegeek.com/what-are-heuristics-and-biases....
Similarly, most of the heuristics are used (and abused) by people of all cognitive styles, but again the details differ depending on what cognitive style you are using. Click here for some ideas about taming heuristics and biases...
www2.gsu.edu/~dscthw/x130/Heuristics-biases.html www2.gsu.edu/~dscthw/x130/Heuristics-biases.html
Amazon.com: Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive
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Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (Paperback) ... This item: Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment by Thomas Gilovich ... Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment; offers a massive, state-of-the-art treatment of the literature, supplementing a similar...
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Amazon.com: Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
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In this volume Daniel Kahneman and the late Amos Tversky gathered together 35 authoritative papers that demonstrate through well-designed experiments and through observation the hard-wired biases and heuristics that influence (or define) the way humans go about making choices when the outcomes are from certain.
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Judgment Heuristics and Biases ... A. A cab was involved in a hit-and-run accident. Two cab companies serve the city: the Green, which operates 85% of the cabs, and the Blue, which operates the remaining ... A. Judgemental heuristics are principles or methods by which one makes assessments or judgements of probability simpler.
www.nku.edu/~garns/165/pptj_h.html
Casinos commonly take advantage of the previous two heuristics by setting up slot machines such that when someone wins, there are many lights, bells and whistles. As well, since the machines are situated very close together, you can often hear/see 'winning' slot machines.
www.ualberta.ca/~egray/bias.htm www.ualberta.ca/~egray/bias.htm
Availability Judgments distorted by easily recalled events ... Selective perception Expectations bias observations ... Illusory correlation Encourages belief that unrelated variables are correlated...
www.bi.no/users/fgl90021/Teaching/Presentations/Lecture... www.bi.no/users/fgl90021/Teaching/Presentations/Lecture1/tsld021.htm
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