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How has the Dow and S&P 500 performed during Secular Bear and Bull Markets. ... The big question is now are we in the beginning stages of a 4th Secular Bear Market which started in 2000. The average length of the previous 3 Secular Bear Markets was 18 years with a minimum of 16 years and a maximum of 21 years.
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www.amateur-investor.net/Secular_Bear_Markets_vs_Secula...
www.amateur-investor.net/Secular_Bear_Markets_vs_Secular%20Bull_Markets.htm
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Historically, there have been three secular bears: the period between 1906 to 1921, the Great Depression period of 1929 to 1949, and the stagflation period of 1966 to 1982. If the current economic climate is, indeed, a fourth secular bear market cycle, the equity markets could experience many upward and downward moves...
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www.dailyfinance.com/2009/07/13/secular-bear-market-cou...
www.dailyfinance.com/2009/07/13/secular-bear-market-could-last-into-2010-maybe-through-2020/
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However I think it’s important to temper expectations because we still haven’t broken out of the secular bear market. A secular bear market is a long period of time where stock market prices are either flat or falling;
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A secular bear market is a long period in which stocks and the economy overall make little progress. There can be small bull runs within secular bear markets which are called cyclical bull markets. But they don’t run for great durations nor do they make significant new highs.
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www.istockanalyst.com/article/viewarticle/articleid/322...
www.istockanalyst.com/article/viewarticle/articleid/3223578
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In real inflation-adjusted terms, general US prices rose 3.1x over this exact valuation-driven secular bear from 1966 to 1982. ... A 17-year secular bear market is highly likely to run from 2000 to 2017 or so, witnessing an endless trading range under the 2000 highs at best and a much deeper bear market at worst.
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www.zealllc.com/2005/longwave2.htm
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If the dollar continues its multi-year secular bear market, they are going to do everything in their power to hold back production to keep oil prices high in dollar terms. The lower the dollar goes, the more dollars per barrel they will demand to compensate them for the reduction in dollar purchasing power.
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www.zealllc.com/2004/usdbear3.htm
www.zealllc.com/2004/usdbear3.htm
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A financial information site with an emphasis on Gold and Preservation of Capital. ... Identification of the secular bear market in advance; In previous articles I have introduced the concept of secular market trends and relative P/R, a valuation concept closely coupled with secular trends.
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www.safehaven.com/article-81.htm
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The most recent turning point was the shift from a secular bull market to a secular bear market in 2000. My book Stock Cycles was written in early 2000 to forecast this turning point explicitly using the P/R concept.[2] This forecast was based on P/R reaching an all-time high in January 1999, indicating that the...
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www.safehaven.com/article-2625.htm
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Identification of the secular bear market in advance ... Each of the eras shown begin in January of the year when P/R peaked (or when a secular bear market was "called" in the case of 1999). As the figure shows, P/R reached all-time levels early in 1999, showed a broad peak in 1999-2000 and has since fallen around 0.9.
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www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_02/alexander070102.html
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