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4 EXTRAPOLATION Exhibit 2: Ranking of Data for Extrapolations ... Typically, analysts test seasonal factors and use them only if they are statistically significant. This is a situation where tests of statistical significance seem to be useful.Testing them requires at least three, but preferably five or more years of data.
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www.forecastingprinciples.com/paperpdf/extrapolation.pd...
www.forecastingprinciples.com/paperpdf/extrapolation.pdf
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Accession Number : AD0738919 ... Title : Statistical Extrapolation. ... Corporate Author : NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CALIF...
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oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html...
oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=AD0738919
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A problem of great concern currently faced by regulatory agencies is the prediction of carcinogenic risk of various environmental agents to man. Typically, a prediction of carcinogenic incidence in humans is required at a level of exposure considerably below experimental animal levels from which the predictions are derived.
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stinet.dtic.mil/oai/oai?verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=h...
stinet.dtic.mil/oai/oai?verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=ADA011868
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A method of creating short term probabilistic forecasts using statistical extrapolation of existing echoes ... How would one go about creating a probabilistic forecast when there are no ensembles of NWP models available? Can forecasts based on extrapolation be reliable in the probabilistic sense...
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www.nssl.noaa.gov/seminars/abs.php?id=95
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We introduce a new variance reduction method, which can be viewed as a statistical analogue of Romberg extrapolation method. ... Namely, we use two Euler schemes with steps δ and δβ,0<β<1. This leads to an algorithm which, for a given level of the statistical error, has a complexity significantly lower than the...
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projecteuclid.org/euclid.aoap/1133965776
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non statistical methods of extrapolation ... Thus, in the context of s disputed child support case, non statistical extrapolation methods of essentially useless tools.
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www.deltabravo.net/custody/dutt-study2.php
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In this paper, different statistical extrapolation procedures which take into account both time-to-response and the presence of competing risks are compared using a large simulated data base.
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toxsci.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/short/3/3/140
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One problem with this methodology is that the use of one model for estimating response in the range of observation and another in the range of extrapolation can place a "kink" in the dose-response curve which may not be supported by the data.
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www.riskworld.com/Abstract/2001/SRAam01/ab01aa256.htm
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Unfortunately, statistical calculations can't help with this further extrapolation. You must use scientific judgment and common sense to make inferences that go beyond the limitations of statistics. Thus, statistical logic is only part of data interpretation...
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graphpad.com/articles/interpret/principles/population.h...
graphpad.com/articles/interpret/principles/population.htm
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